The Australian Dollar has declined by nearly 4% since late January. Much of the sell-off has been profit taking and technical as the market has built up significant resistance around .81 to the US Dollar. We think the upward trend remains intact through the end of the month and a re-test of the resistance at .81. We’ve employed a nine-year… Read more →
We’ve discussed the growing speculative bubble in the stock index futures both on our blog and in Modern Trader magazine. The market’s 10% flush has wiped out much of the speculative money. It will be another week before we can run the Commitment of Traders data and quantify our suppositions accordingly. We expect this washout to reset the deck and… Read more →
The second trade for February is in the March silver futures contract. We’ll be buying March silver futures late this week or, early next week. We’ll place a protective stop loss order 2% below the entry price. This is $.34 per ounce if silver is trading at $17 per ounce. Thirty-four cents in the futures market equals a $1,700 move… Read more →
Some of you have requested an update on where we stand since we began publishing the seasonal trades. You’ll find the results below, along with some trading notes and helpful hints. Best, Andy Waldock. 10/02/2017 – ($800) loss shorting December cocoa. 10/26/2017 – ($1,000) loss buying November soybeans. 11/21/2017 – $240 profit shorting the Canadian Dollar. 12/05/2017 – ($587.50)… Read more →
Most of our research focuses on the Commodity Futures Trading Commissions’ (CFTC) Commitment of Trades (COT) report. We believe that the commercial traders are more intimately familiar with a market’s fundamentals that provide their livelihood than are the speculators who tend to come and go from one hot market to the next. We’ll explain how the commercial traders are connected,… Read more →
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Speculators are approaching the new year with an eye towards stock market gains and a tightening Federal Reserve. This is a tough combination for interest rate futures to rally against. However, commercial traders are holding their most bullish position since last April. Therefore we expect the decline in interest rate futures, specifically the 10-year Treasury Notes and 30-year Treasury Bonds… Read more →
Our office will be closed Monday in observance of the New Year holiday. NewYear_2018_US Market Hours Read more →
Our two primary trading screens are based on the Commitment of Traders report and commodity market seasonality. Both of these are currently supporting the Australian Dollar. January 8th update – Position closed for profit of $2,030. Read more →
There are many methods to successful trading. One key to all of them is an intimate understanding of risk at the program development and implementation levels. Rather than make this a highly technical article, we’ll let each picture speak 1,000 words. Then, we’ll tell you how the Commitment of Traders(COT) report, seasonality, and advanced data analysis come together to point… Read more →
December has been a solid success as our first full month trading our new seasonal analysis. Now, as quickly as the February live cattle futures have fallen, we expect them to bounce. Yes, this seasonal trade is exactly the opposite of the live cattle trade we sold short for a $3,000 profit earlier this week. Read more →
Our next new positions are in the copper and live cattle markets. The markets are closed Thursday, and we’ll be out of the office on Friday. Don’t worry, the nightly COT Signals email will go out as usual, and will update any new seasonal actions to be taken. We’ll go over the specifics of the copper trade then, live cattle,… Read more →
This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Commodity & Derivative Advisors and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. This material is not a research report prepared by Commodity & Derivative Advisors’ Research Department. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, and agree that you are not, and will not, rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions.
The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that Commodity & Derivative Advisors believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.