Blog Archives

Capitalizing on the End of the Wheat Rally

I specialize in reading the tea leaves of the weekly Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) Commitment of Traders (COT) report. This report has been around longer than I’ve been trading (25+yrs). I use the information provided in the COT report in three different ways; discretionary, mechanically, and seasonally. All three of our models take into account the relative behavior between the commercial… Read more →

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Sugar Short

The first trade for March is in the May #11 sugar futures contract. This market recently broke critical support at $.13 per/lb on bearish fundamental news. Now, we expect seasonal weakness to force this market lower, ahead of the March 8th, USDA Supply and Demand report and on through the Prospective Plantings report on March 29th, extending losses to the… Read more →

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Silver Setup

The second trade for February is in the March silver futures contract. We’ll be buying March silver futures late this week or, early next week. We’ll place a protective stop loss order 2% below the entry price. This is $.34 per ounce if silver is trading at $17 per ounce. Thirty-four cents in the futures market equals a $1,700 move… Read more →

Commercial Traders Profit from Early Soybean Bid

Most of our research focuses on the Commodity Futures Trading Commissions’ (CFTC) Commitment of Trades (COT) report. We believe that the commercial traders are more intimately familiar with a market’s fundamentals that provide their livelihood than are the speculators who tend to come and go from one hot market to the next. We’ll explain how the commercial traders are connected,… Read more →

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January Interest Rate Action

Speculators are approaching the new year with an eye towards stock market gains and a tightening Federal Reserve. This is a tough combination for interest rate futures to rally against. However, commercial traders are holding their most bullish position since last April. Therefore we expect the decline in interest rate futures, specifically the 10-year Treasury Notes and 30-year Treasury Bonds… Read more →

This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Commodity & Derivative Advisors and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. This material is not a research report prepared by Commodity & Derivative Advisors’ Research Department. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, and agree that you are not, and will not, rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions.

The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that Commodity & Derivative Advisors believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.