There are typically three solid seasonal setups, annually in the corn market. The first is a short sale following the pre-planting fears. The second aligns with the 4th of July. We skipped this trade due to corn’s precipitous trade war decline. The market’s recent bounce has proven the statistical assumption that the market had fallen too far, too quickly correct. The… Read more →
Most of our research focuses on the Commodity Futures Trading Commissions’ (CFTC) Commitment of Trades (COT) report. We believe that the commercial traders are more intimately familiar with a market’s fundamentals that provide their livelihood than are the speculators who tend to come and go from one hot market to the next. We’ll explain how the commercial traders are connected,… Read more →
The USDA report at noon EST on Thursday, October 12th will be closely watched, and could finally provide some direction and volatility from our current levels in the soybean market. Read more →
Seasonal Tendencies: Beans, Cocoa, and Coffee – September 2017 COT column for Modern Trader Magazine
Soybean Rally is Classic Summer Sell Signal – August, 2017 COT column for Modern Trader Magazine
I’m not much of an alarmist but when professors at major universities are willing to sign their name to important shifts in the information being fed to us, like a 3-4% decline in the 2017 soybean crop, I take notice. Weed Killer Designed to Save Farms is Devastating Them Read more →
We’ve contended that that new crop hedges above $10 per bushel would be good sales as 2017’s planting got underway. Below, you’ll see links to our early year analysis through current comments by the Agricultural Economics Department at the University of Illinois, Urbana – Champaign. Read more →
Todd Hubbs Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics University of Illinois farmdoc daily (7):138 Recommended citation format: Hubbs, T. “Weekly Outlook: Old Crop Soybean Consumption and Weather.” farmdoc daily (7):138, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, July 31, 2017. Permalink: http://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2017/07/old-crop-soybean-consumption-and-weather.html Soybean prices continue to reflect weather and crop conditions. The volatility in price movements… Read more →
Soybeans have spiked as much as 15% higher over the last three weeks. So far, the commercial traders’ actions have accurately forecasted this year’s market behavior. In fact, it was commercial processor buying that triggered the discretionary COT buy signal we published for June 28th’s trading. Now that the market has rallied, the commercial balance of power between processors and… Read more →
Corn Boiling Down to Two Bit Range Posted on Jun 16, 2017, 06:40 by Dave Toth Read more →
This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Commodity & Derivative Advisors and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. This material is not a research report prepared by Commodity & Derivative Advisors’ Research Department. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, and agree that you are not, and will not, rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions.
The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that Commodity & Derivative Advisors believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.