I believe the copper market will peak following one more bounce off of the support around $3 per pound. We have opposing market forces between the copper producers’ forward selling and a seasonally strong month for copper based on a booming economy and construction sector. The speculators are carrying a record long position expecting industrial needs to continue while copper producers are… Read more →
Our next new positions are in the copper and live cattle markets. The markets are closed Thursday, and we’ll be out of the office on Friday. Don’t worry, the nightly COT Signals email will go out as usual, and will update any new seasonal actions to be taken. We’ll go over the specifics of the copper trade then, live cattle,… Read more →
President’s Day represents the last of the New Year holidays. The current setup in the silver futures market looks like it may be the last holiday for speculators whose positions are quickly piling up on the long side of a market that is already significantly overbought. We’ll examine the case for a holiday driven speculative washout and reset in the… Read more →
The recent rally in the copper market has attracted record selling pressure from commercial mining companies. Better information does make for better trading strategies. We’ll explain the information circle at its highest levels, how it affects the futures market, and how you can use this information to help generate profitable swing trading opportunities in the commodity futures markets. Read more →
There’s an old saying frequently used to encourage an underdog, “The opponent puts on their pants the same way as the challenger.” While that may be true in a one on one matchup, it simply does not apply to the world of trading. I hate to be the bearer of bad news, David but, Goliath really does have the advantage.… Read more →
We don’t normally spend time patting ourselves on the back as we’re usually too busy with the next trade. Today, however, we have no new trades primarily thanks to letting the winners we’ve recently published here, continue to run. Therefore, we’ll update our last several posts here at Equities.com and explain the process of our support and resistance based swing… Read more →
We’ll take a big picture look at the gold market this week and the interplay between the market’s players and price before finishing with an option play that could capitalize on multiple factors leading to increased volatility in the December gold futures contract. Finally, this piece will be short on words and long on charts as we distill the action… Read more →
Much of successful trading, like economics, comes from making small changes that over time, affect the big picture. Today, we’ll discuss a marginal improvement to our Commitments of Traders swing trading calculations that improved performance across all of the markets we trade and that leads to big changes in the bottom line over time. Read more →
There’s a thing about records. They continue until, they don’t. A string of record weather continues until it changes. Similarly, markets can be continually propelled until they aren’t. Such is the case with the current silver market. Speculators in the silver futures market have set net long and total position records in each of the last three weeks. This has… Read more →
This year began with a bang. Our forecasting models accurately predicted many of 2016’s early commodity rallies in metals, energies and grains. Our models also expressed the notion that while these rallies would be sharp, there was little evidence to suggest that this was anything more than a temporary spike in a deflating global economy. Therefore, the persistence of these… Read more →
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The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that Commodity & Derivative Advisors believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.