I had planned an in-depth look at platinum and gold both individually and, spread against one another. There are predictable setups in all three of these tradeable vehicles. However, my body just hasn’t been willing to let me spend much time at my desk, and the platinum trade is rapidly approaching. Therefore, today’s analysis will focus solely on the upcoming platinum trade… Read more →
The March cotton futures tend to close the year strongly. We expect this market to move higher from here through year-end based on the growing commercial trader position and seasonal strength, which should create a bit of a saucer base and bottom. Read more →
Every month brings many seasonal trading possibilities. Years of work with the Commitment of Traders data has shown me that not all seasonal trades are created equally. Our program is now one year old and the seasonal results have been quite solid. I’m pleased with the trading plan I’ve put together which has included limited risk, reasonable winning percentage and still… Read more →
We’ve been writing about the largest traders’ growing short position in the S&P futures. In fact, they’ve been net sellers in seven out of the last eight weeks. Let’s face it, size matters. The mini S&P 500 futures are the most liquid of the stock index futures and therefore present a much larger capital base. Now that the selling has spilled… Read more →
Coffee has been in a downward trend since November of 2016. Therefore, it’s no wonder that coffee growers have been keen to sell their expected forward production on any rally in prices. Coffee producers have now been sellers for three straight weeks as coffee has climbed nearly 10% since mid-April, and their selling generated a Discretionary COT Signals short sale using the setup,… Read more →
The second trade for February is in the March silver futures contract. We’ll be buying March silver futures late this week or, early next week. We’ll place a protective stop loss order 2% below the entry price. This is $.34 per ounce if silver is trading at $17 per ounce. Thirty-four cents in the futures market equals a $1,700 move… Read more →
Most of our research focuses on the Commodity Futures Trading Commissions’ (CFTC) Commitment of Trades (COT) report. We believe that the commercial traders are more intimately familiar with a market’s fundamentals that provide their livelihood than are the speculators who tend to come and go from one hot market to the next. We’ll explain how the commercial traders are connected,… Read more →
Speculators are approaching the new year with an eye towards stock market gains and a tightening Federal Reserve. This is a tough combination for interest rate futures to rally against. However, commercial traders are holding their most bullish position since last April. Therefore we expect the decline in interest rate futures, specifically the 10-year Treasury Notes and 30-year Treasury Bonds… Read more →
Our two primary trading screens are based on the Commitment of Traders report and commodity market seasonality. Both of these are currently supporting the Australian Dollar. January 8th update – Position closed for profit of $2,030. Read more →
There are many methods to successful trading. One key to all of them is an intimate understanding of risk at the program development and implementation levels. Rather than make this a highly technical article, we’ll let each picture speak 1,000 words. Then, we’ll tell you how the Commitment of Traders(COT) report, seasonality, and advanced data analysis come together to point… Read more →
This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Commodity & Derivative Advisors and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. This material is not a research report prepared by Commodity & Derivative Advisors’ Research Department. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, and agree that you are not, and will not, rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions.
The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that Commodity & Derivative Advisors believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.